Are you sitting on more cash than ever?

By: Roshawn Watson

Are you sitting on more cash than ever? I know this may sound like a strange question, but I recently read an interesting article on Kiplinger stating that US businesses are sitting on more cash than ever (if you include financial service companies). Businesses are sitting on hundreds of billions of dollars in “excess cash.” Now, we knew this was going to happen, as a year and a half ago many businesses began deleveraging: selling assets for cash and dumping debts. Consequently, many businesses are in very strong positions, and I began to ponder whether we had done the same.

Merits of Being Cash Rich

One reason companies chose to increase their liquidity was so that they could weather the economic storm (i.e. recession). This is important because if your liquidity is too low, you will not be financially solvent and are in a precarious position if there are immediate cash demands. Here is an example you may be familiar with. Financial expert Dave Ramsey built a $4 million dollar real estate portfolio before he was thirty. Unfortunately, he was ill-liquid and completely over-leveraged. As soon as the Tax Reform Act of 1986 was passed, his primary mortgage holder requested he give them $1.2 million in cash in 90 days. This request forced him into bankruptcy. As many know, this is why he runs his businesses and lives his life debt-free.

In an effort to increase liquidity, companies also aggressively focused on decreasing expenses (i.e. cost-containment). Consequently, profits increased some 27% in the second half of last year. In some cases, this meant changing their existing business model to accommodate changing consumer sentiment regarding discretionary purchases. For luxury real estate developer Toll Brothers, this meant that they lowered their cost of goods sold (COGS). In 2009, the average home they sold was $623,300 plus $126,000 in options. In 2010, they predict that the average home will be $540,000-$560,000. Thus, Toll Brothers has effectively reduced their carrying costs (market exposure) by developing more affordable models. Hopefully, this strategy will be profitable, as McMansions have lost their appeal to some people. Still, McDonald’s huge success with McCafe shows that launching products with better perceived value can be very profitable. Note McDonald’s recently posted solid sales growth, which they partly attributed to their premium coffee offering.

There is yet another reason that businesses have increased their liquidity: to capitalize on newly available opportunities. For those of you who heeded the warning of expanding your cash reserves and deleveraging your life and who have a relatively stable financial foundation, now is the prime time to be looking for some tremendous deals on real estate and stock, mutual funds, etc. In fact, I am finding more and more every day. This is a unique window of opportunity where there are plenty of offerings that are below market value, and you don’t have to be a big business to capitalize on it. You merely have to be prepared. John Paulson is the perfect example of someone who was prepared. He bet against homeowners and shareholders because he knew that prices were too high. This is why he just accumulated cash during the boom, waiting for his opportunity to buy at a discount. In 2007, while the rumblings of a recession were getting louder and the market was teetering, his hedge fund increased a whopping $15 billion and his personal wealth increased by $3.7 billion. David Tepper did the same last year and increased his wealth a whopping $7 billion.

How Long Will This Window Last?

Let me reiterate my initial question: are you sitting on more cash than ever? If so, it time to go shopping; however, if you are not ready, there may be time to position yourself. Although some predict economic recovery will occur this year, there are several others who believe recovery may be slower than expected. Prominent investor Warren Buffett is one such person: he’s still not sure when the economy will recover, but he expects the rebound to be slow because American consumers remain uneasy. This is a good point. Our high unemployment rate, low consumer spending, depressed property values, and retarded business expansion all indicate that there is plenty of room to go as far as a recovery. Thus, there appears to be more time to prepare ourselves.

In short, if you are poised correctly, 2010 could be your most profitable year to date. All we need to do is to be at the right place, at the right time, with the right resources. Are you prepared to capitalize this year? That’s the billion dollar question!

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